Azerbaijan’s Post-War Paths: Crackdown, Oceania, Turan

Bahruz Samadov 

Following the recent tensions in France’s overseas territory, New Caledonia, France accused Azerbaijan of fuelling discontent among the indigenous Kanak people against France. Azerbaijan, since the 2020 war in Nagorno-Karabakh, has turned to fierce anti-Western rhetoric, specifically targeting France’s colonial past and current politics in the overseas territories. France, a co-chair of OSCE’s Minsk Group since 1992, which had the aim to resolve the Karabakh conflict peacefully, has long been perceived in Azerbaijan as pro-Armenian. However, this is not a simple story: Azerbaijan aspires to form an informal coalition of illiberal states.

„Azerbaijan, since the 2020 war in Nagorno-Karabakh, has turned to fierce anti-Western rhetoric, specifically targeting France’s colonial past and current politics in the overseas territories.“

 Photo: Shutterstock.com

From Azerbaijan to Oceania with Love

Already during the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War, the anti-French rhetoric in Azerbaijan was coupled with narratives of anti-colonial struggles. In response to France’s criticism of dehumanizing “Military Trophies Park” in Baku, President Aliyev mentioned that France keeps the skulls of 19th-century Algerian resistant fighters in a museum, where skulls are displayed to visitors. The claim was debunked as manipulation with facts as the skulls have been kept in the basement of the Museum of Mankind.

In 2023, the Baku Initiative Group was established within the framework of the Non-Aligned Movement to support the separatist claims against France, such as Comoro’s claims over the Mayotte and Kanak movements in New Caledonia. According to the organization’s Executive Director, Abbas Abbasov, the organization aims at “strengthening the voice of the peoples affected by colonialism”. Soon, Baku hosted an anti-colonial conference with a sole focus on France, which was accused of xenophobia and Islamophobia. Following the riots in New Caledonia, Azerbaijan proudly pursues this political shift.

On May 29, 2024, a delegation of the Parliament of French Polynesia arrived in Baku to establish “inter-parliamentary, economic, and humanitarian cooperation between Azerbaijan and French Polynesia, as well as cooperation in science, education, sports, health, and other spheres”. The meeting included a conference with an explicit name: “French Polynesia’s Right to Decolonization: Challenges and Prospects”. Mr. Abbasov stressed that the cooperation between the Baku Initiative Group and Polynesia’s Tāvini Huiraʻatira Party “will help strengthen our relations and support the country’s struggle for independence”. The concealed part of the cooperation is the fact that the Tāvini Huiraʻatira Party is the pro-independence opposition party in Polynesia, not the government.

It would be too bold to argue that Azerbaijan was directly involved in the riots in New Caledonia or to deny the issues and concerns related to the indigenous Kanak people. What is concerning is, however, Azerbaijan’s sole focus on France – and not, for instance, Britain’s colonial past. The latter remains Azerbaijan’s close economic partner, including in rebuilding and investment in Karabakh. This evidence proves the reactive nature of Azerbaijan’s anti-colonial identity – and instrumentalization of the struggles of indigenous peoples for authoritarian ends. The ultimate plan is not only to punish France for arming Armenia and raising the issue of refugees from Nagorno-Karabakh but also to push France as much as possible from the South Caucasus.

„The ultimate plan is not only to punish France for arming Armenia and raising the issue of refugees from Nagorno-Karabakh but also to push France as much as possible from the South Caucasus.“
„For Azerbaijani society, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was the national cause for decades, serving as the major depoliticizing reference point for the hegemonic order.“

Brutal Crackdown

Azerbaijan is one of the most authoritarian states in the world. For Azerbaijani society, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was the national cause for decades, serving as the major depoliticizing reference point for the hegemonic order. The logic was simple: if the nation lacks territorial integrity and has an external enemy, inner political issues will only weaken the much-needed national unity. This logic was changed after the 2020 war and the 2023 full capture of Nagorno-Karabakh: the full imposition of sovereignty over Karabakh and the Armenian exodus from the region has led to a new ideological hunger. In early 2024, Aliyev mentioned the need for a fresh “national ideology”, meaning a new solidifying idea – surely, without forgetting the glorious and victorious 2020-2023 but still without explicit militarism and expansionism.

It seems the new national idea has been forming around anti-Westernism and statist anti-liberalism. In practice, it means the arrest of dozens of civil society members and journalists: in the last months, several media outlets (AbzasNet, Toplum TV, Kanal13) and civil society organizations were the target of repressive measures. They are accused of serving the “Western interests” and “grants”: a well-known trope in authoritarian states to discredit liberal civil society members and projects. The unprecedented crackdown in Azerbaijan is not accidental: it is a reaction to Western criticism of Azerbaijan’s takeover of Nagorno-Karabakh in September 2023. EU’s recent statement mentions an “unsettling rise of arrests”, calling to release “all those imprisoned for exercising their fundamental rights”.

Seeking Coalitions

Azerbaijan’s aim is not limited to anti-colonial tropes. The ideological turn also induces a coalition of illiberal states. From April to May 2024, Baku hosted Presidents of Kyrgyzstan, Belarus, Bulgaria, Iran, Tajikistan, Hungary’s Foreign Minister, and Slovakia’s Prime Minister. Azerbaijan’s foreign policy practices aim to create and maintain an informal coalition of illiberal countries that are sceptical of Western liberalism.

A major part of this coalition-building policy includes the authoritarian-inclined Turkic countries of Central Asia, Turkey, and Hungary, which are united in the Organization of Turkic States. In his inaugural speech, Aliyev embraced the Turkic orientation, positioning Azerbaijan as a part of the “Turkic family”. Azerbaijan growingly plays the leading position there, articulating even pan-Turanist ideas. The Azerbaijan Franchising Association initiated the establishment of the “Made in Turan” brand, a strategic effort “to harness and amplify the collective economic strength of the Turkic states” in such fields as food and textile industries. Here, the “Turanist” brand is not just a name: it is a discursive move that clarifies Azerbaijan’s post-war sovereigntist and statist-nationalist identity.

Turning away from the West, Azerbaijan looks at the non-Turkic East, too: new green-leaning economic projects are and will be established with China: in a recent interview with Chinese Global Times, the Assistant of President of Azerbaijan for Foreign Policy Affairs Hikmat Hajiyev stressed that Azerbaijan condemns election in Taiwan as “completely unacceptable”. Hajiyev also dismissed Western “security concerns” about Chinese technologies.

„Azerbaijan’s foreign policy practices aim to create and maintain an informal coalition of illiberal countries that are sceptical of Western liberalism.“
„A serious criticism from the West in Azerbaijani media is presented as xenophobia, unwillingness to accept Azerbaijan’s victory in Karabakh. „

Conclusion

Despite all the discontent and worsening relations, the collective West needs Azerbaijan’s oil and gas, which, at least so far, excludes the possibility of economic sanctions. A serious criticism from the West in Azerbaijani media is presented as xenophobia, unwillingness to accept Azerbaijan’s victory in Karabakh. So far, the main target is France, but this policy signifies an overall turn to illiberal coalition-building and refusal of Western liberalism and values. In contrast, the relations with Russia are flourishing in mutually beneficial ways: Azerbaijan keeps trading with both the EU and Russia, positioning itself as a neutral actor in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Performative anti-colonialism and pan-Turkism are two discursive articulations to re-establish Azerbaijan’s post-war state identity, currently based on mutual articulation of authoritarian sovereignism and statism with a degree of antagonism and hostility to France and liberal values.

 

Sources:
  • Aa.Com.Tr (2023, 05 07). Azerbaijani president accuses France of pursuing a neocolonial policy. Retrieved from, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/azerbaijani-president-accuses-france-of-pursuing-neocolonial-policy/2937313
  • Al Jazeera. (2024, 05 17). France blames Azerbaijan for New Caledonia violence: Unpacking their spat. Retrieved from, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/5/17/france-blames-azerbaijan-for-new-caledonia-
  • Azertag (2024, 05 30). Cooperation with the Baku Initiative Group would contribute to French Polynesia’s struggle for independence. Retrieved from, https://azertag.az/en/xeber/cooperation_with_baku_initiative_group_would_contribute_to_french_polynesia_039s_struggle_for_independence-3030814
  • FaktYoxla (2021, 05 28). Ilham Aliyev’s claim about Algerian fighters. Retrieved from https://www.faktyoxla.info/en/right/ilham-aliyevs-claim-about-algerian-fighters
  • France 24. (2021, 13 04). Fury in Armenia as Baku displays war trophies. Retrieved from https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210413-fury-in-armenia-as-baku-displays-war-trophies
  • GlobalTimes (2024, 05 25). Chinese companies diversify Azerbaijan’s economy and can do more in country’s green growth: top diplomat. Retrieved from
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  • Report.Az (2024, 05 10). Baku Initiative Group in spotlight of African media. Retrieved from https://report.az/en/foreign-politics/baku-initiative-group-in-spotlight-of-african-media/

Bahruz Samadov received his MA in International Relations from Central European University, and is currently a doctoral student in political science at Charles University. His research focuses on hegemony and political discourses in Azerbaijan based on post-structuralist and psychoanalytic theories. Other interests include identity, political stability, and populism.

Disclaimer: Views presented here are those of the author solely and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Strategic Analysis.

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